HVAC Trends in 2 Minutes: September 2025 Data

HVACR Trends in 2 Summary

In September 2025, distributor sales growth held steady between 4% and 4.5%, consistent with trends earlier in the year. While mid-single-digit gains looked positive, they were largely boosted by an extra billing day—without it, sales were essentially flat despite additional price increases. The cooling season modestly lifted annual growth from 4.2% to 4.6%, keeping it within this year’s narrow range. This year won’t be remembered for a strong cooling season, but distributors can look ahead to the heating season and the upcoming HARDInomics report for deeper insights at the annual HARDI conference next month.

HVAC Trends for HARDI Members

HARDI members do not receive financial compensation in exchange for their monthly sales data and can discontinue their participation without prior notice or penalty. Participation is voluntary, and the depth of market coverage varies from region to region. An independent entity collects and compiles the data that can include products not directly associated with the HVACR industry.

If you would like more information about HVAC trends or would like to find out how to participate in our TRENDS reporting, contact Brian Loftus at bloftus@hardinet.org.

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