2026 State of the Channel

The HVACR industry's most comprehensive yearly analysis

  • Industry-wide manufacturing, distribution and contractor insights, all in one report

  • Strategic customer-driven insights, outlooks and sales projections, down to the regional level

  • Voice of the Contractor survey included, providing deep insights in contractor needs in 2026

ABOUT THE REPORT

The State of the Channel (SoC) report is HARDI’s thorough analysis of the present and future state of the HVACR industry, including its size, structure, and market segments. By combining a macro-level overview of the broader economy with a focused analysis of HVACR trends, the SoC report offers HARDI members detailed insights into the challenges and opportunities in wholesale distribution.

PRICING

  • Distributor Members $1,300

  • Associate Members $1,600

  • Non-Members $4,000

This purchase does not extend to any parent, sister, or subsidiary companies. Each subsidiary must make its own separate purchase to gain access to State of the Channel.

What you'll find in this edition:

SOC-01
Residential unitary efficiency trends

including SEER and AFUE

SOC-02
Insights from Voice of Contractor

+ Voice of Supplier Survey Results

SOC-03
Latest on the Technology Transition Rule

and what it means for your summer selling season

SOC-04
Key threats assessment

+ insights on where businesses should prioritize investments

Market Outlooks

  • Residential Market Outlook

  • Non-Residential Market Outlook

  • Regulatory Updates and Future Outlook

  • M&A Trends and Outlook

  • Residential Sector Outlook

  • Non-residential Outlook

  • Supply Chain Status and Outlook

  • Inflation Reduction Act

  • Details on HFC Phasedown

Industry Benchmarks

  • U.S. Addressable Market Channel Share

  • Wholesale Channel Performance

  • Residential HVAC Performance & Drivers

  • Light Commercial, Applied, Commercial, and Industrial Refrigeration Performance

  • Voice of the Supplier & Voice of Contractor Survey Results

Have Questions?

We're here to help! If you have comments, questions or feedback, let us know.

HARDI